{"id":4608,"date":"2020-08-07T07:01:00","date_gmt":"2020-08-07T07:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.vnuhcm.edu.vn\/?p=4608"},"modified":"2023-06-19T07:02:16","modified_gmt":"2023-06-19T07:02:16","slug":"thay-doi-chinh-sach-tai-khoa-de-phuc-hoi-kinh-te-hau-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.vnuhcm.edu.vn\/index.php\/vi\/2020\/08\/07\/thay-doi-chinh-sach-tai-khoa-de-phuc-hoi-kinh-te-hau-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf h\u1eadu COVID-19*"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf h\u1eadu COVID-19*<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a g\u1ed3m gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n thu\u00ea \u0111\u1ea5t v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 180 ng\u00e0n t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, chi ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t cho an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 62.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 11.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 ho\u00e3n \u0111\u00f3ng b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 9.500 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. T\u00ednh t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 quy m\u00f4 g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 4,3% GDP v\u00e0 x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong khu v\u1ef1c.<\/span><\/p>

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C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn t\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o.\u00a0Ngu\u1ed3n<\/em>:\u00a0HCMUEL<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00eau tr\u00ean ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p (ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi) trong khi t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng COVID-19 s\u1ebd c\u00f2n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a IMF cho th\u1ea5y GDP to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ea5p trong n\u0103m 2020, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2021. V\u00ec v\u1eady, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ph\u1ea3i t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c v\u1ef1c d\u1eady n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>

D\u01b0\u1edbi g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng do \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 g\u00e2y ra c\u1ea7n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a c\u00f2n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1edf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p, ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. C\u00e1c g\u00f3i k\u00edch k\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f3a th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch trong ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n chi t\u1eeb ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u01b0a ra khung ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam theo c\u00e1c ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n g\u1ed3m: T\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi ti\u00eau, thu\u1ebf, vay n\u1ee3, chuy\u1ec3n nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f3a th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ea5t, t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi ti\u00eau l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh chi ti\u00eau li\u00ean quan d\u1ef1 to\u00e1n ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n trong c\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p: C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a, ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh b\u1ed9i chi \u01b0u ti\u00ean, uu ti\u00ean ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb m\u1edbi v\u00e0 thay th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Hi\u1ec7n nay, vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi ti\u00eau t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf c\u1ea3 ph\u00eda cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch trong n\u0103m 2020 do doanh nghi\u1ec7p g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, kinh doanh, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u; b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u0169ng t\u1ea1o nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi ti\u00eau b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m chi th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u00e0y cho an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, th\u1eddi gian huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c, vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi ti\u00eau l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng gian cho ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u do s\u1ef1 thu h\u1eb9p ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n kinh t\u1ebf. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c ho\u00e3n v\u00e0 mi\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, vay n\u1ee3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111ang \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c nh\u01b0 Qu\u1ef9 Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111\u1ec3 vay 1 t\u1ef7 USD. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng vay t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang g\u1eb7p c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c \u0111i vay n\u1ee3 s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n l\u00e0 t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng\/GDP \u0111ang b\u1ecb kh\u1ed1ng ch\u1ebf \u1edf m\u1ee9c 65% (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng n\u0103m 2019 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u00e0 56,1% GDP). Do v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng tr\u1ea7n n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a COVID-19. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, \u0111\u1ec3 thu h\u00fat c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi chuy\u1ec3n nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u00ean t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch th\u00f4ng qua chuy\u1ec3n nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u00e0y. Theo k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch, T\u1ed5ng c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 kinh doanh v\u1ed1n nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc (SCIC) s\u1ebd tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n t\u1ea1i 85 doanh nghi\u1ec7p trong n\u0103m 2020 v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb v\u1ed1n \u0111i\u1ec1u l\u1ec7 h\u01a1n 16.720 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111ang ni\u00eam y\u1ebft v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1eb7t ra l\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y khi trong n\u0103m 2019, SCIC ch\u1ec9 tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 82 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u1ea1i 12 doanh nghi\u1ec7p, thu v\u1ec1 cho Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc 314 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, g\u1ea5p 3,8 l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb v\u1ed1n b\u00e1n ra.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f3a th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 Hoa K\u1ef3, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Anh, Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 Indonesia v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9\u2026 Vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u1ec1n cung \u1ee9ng, th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng mong mu\u1ed1n \u1edf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i hay t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u00f3a th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t c\u1ea7n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n. Tuy v\u1eady, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1eb7t ra cho Vi\u1ec7t Nam khi th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e8m theo.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ea7n cho ph\u00e9p h\u1ea1ch to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 chi ph\u00ed l\u01b0\u01a1ng. Theo \u0111\u00f3, doanh nghi\u1ec7p, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eeba v\u00e0 nh\u1ecf h\u1ea1ch to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 chi ph\u00ed li\u00ean quan ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng, ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng, ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng ph\u00e1t sinh trong n\u0103m 2020. \u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c sa th\u1ea3i ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m l\u01b0\u01a1ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong n\u0103m 2020 cho \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m 2021.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Th\u1ee9 \u0111\u1ebfn, ph\u1ea3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng chi ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc cho \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 kh\u01a1i th\u00f4ng kh\u1ed1i ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng 700.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng trong n\u0103m 2020. Theo th\u00f4ng tin t\u1eeb Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0 B\u1ed9 K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u01a1m v\u00e0o n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u0103m 2020 x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 700.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng g\u1ed3m v\u1ed1n ph\u00e1t sinh trong n\u0103m 2020 kho\u1ea3ng 135.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u00e1c n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n ngu\u1ed3n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u1edf n\u0103m 2020 kho\u1ea3ng 565.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu theo B\u1ed9 K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0, \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0o gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n d\u01b0\u1edbi 60% s\u1ebd b\u1ecb c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 t\u1ea1m \u1ee9ng 20% v\u1ed1n ph\u00e1t sinh n\u0103m 2020, th\u00ec t\u1ed5ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n trong n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2020 l\u00e0 366.000 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 15,6 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u00f4ng tin t\u1eeb Kho b\u1ea1c Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 3\/2020, gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea1t 57.500 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng 12,8% k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch giao. Gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n b\u1eb1ng ngu\u1ed3n ODA v\u00e0 vay \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i c\u00f2n th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. L\u0169y k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 31\/3\/2020 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01a1n 2.666 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng tr\u00ean t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao c\u1ea3 n\u0103m l\u00e0 56.700 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ea1t 5%. Ngo\u00e0i ra, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020 l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edf t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 thanh to\u00e1n t\u1ea1i Kho b\u1ea1c Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

V\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a trung h\u1ea1n, c\u1ea7n cho ph\u00e9p doanh nghi\u1ec7p chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ed7 v\u1ec1 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Vi\u1ec7c doanh nghi\u1ec7p h\u1ea1ch to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 chi ph\u00ed li\u00ean quan ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng, ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng, ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 doanh thu s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi doanh nghi\u1ec7p. Theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh hi\u1ec7n h\u00e0nh, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ed7 v\u1ec1 sau kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 5 n\u0103m. Do \u0111\u00f3 B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u cho ph\u00e9p doanh nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ed7 v\u1ec1 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc (2019 v\u00e0 2018) ho\u1eb7c n\u0103m sau (2021, 2022 v\u00e0 2023) trong h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecbnh 5 n\u0103m. Chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ed7 v\u1ec1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1ch to\u00e1n l\u1ed7 kinh doanh r\u00f2ng ph\u00e1t sinh trong n\u0103m t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 2020 v\u00e0o thu nh\u1eadp t\u00ednh thu\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn kho\u1ea3n ho\u00e0n thu\u1ebf (t\u1ea1o d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o). Chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ed7 v\u1ec1 sau s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf thu nh\u1eadp doanh nghi\u1ec7p (ng\u0103n d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n ra).<\/span><\/span><\/p>

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, c\u1ea7n b\u1ed1 tr\u00ed m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n m\u1ee5c chi t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft kinh t\u1ebf trong d\u1ef1 to\u00e1n ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2021-2026. \u1ede ph\u00eda khu v\u1ef1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p, kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng COVID-19 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ecbp s\u00e0ng l\u1ecdc doanh nghi\u1ec7p, n\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ef1 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ef1 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft kinh t\u1ebf (t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean) v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft kinh t\u1ebf (t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng) s\u1ebd t\u00f4i luy\u1ec7n doanh nghi\u1ec7p th\u00eam b\u1ea3n l\u0129nh c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 l\u1ecdc b\u1ecf nh\u1eefng doanh nghi\u1ec7p y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m, kh\u00f4ng t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 g\u00e2y nguy h\u1ea1i m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

C\u00e1c ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a v\u00e0 an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i v\u1eeba qua c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ch\u1ec9 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i s\u00e2u c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam. \u0110\u1ec3 v\u1ef1c d\u1eady n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ea7n b\u1ed1 tr\u00ed h\u1eb1ng n\u0103m trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch 2021-2026 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 to\u00e1n chi t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft. Kho\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 chi n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3n m\u1ee5c \u201cChi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n\u201d d\u01b0\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 gi\u00e3n thu\u1ebf\u2026 Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, TP.HCM \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh k\u00edch c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hay c\u1ea5p b\u00f9 l\u00e3i vay k\u00edch c\u1ea7u t\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

T\u1ef1u trung, khi t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft kinh t\u1ebf, Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ea7n xem x\u00e9t m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ng\u00e0nh ngh\u1ec1, n\u00e2ng s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n cho vay t\u1eeb ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh k\u00edch c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 lan t\u1ecfa tr\u00ean m\u1ecdi l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 t\u1ee5c h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

TS TR\u1ea6N H\u00d9NG S\u01a0N<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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